La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Girona

Spain Futbol
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Girona 23 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.43 / 2 7.30
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 65.4% / X 21.5% / Girona 13.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 65.4%
X 21.5%
2 13.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 51.6%
Under 2.5 48.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.33 market consensus · line only
X 4.43 market consensus · line only
1 1.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.38 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.48 67.6%
Х 4.40 22.7%
П2 7.71 13.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7%
Х 4.45 22.5% 4.70 21.3% 4.71 21.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
П2 7.00 14.3% 7.10 14.1% 7.95 12.6% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.80 12.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.90 34.5%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Athletic Club
L L W W W
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:2 ValenciaValencia
13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 AlavesAlaves
31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
25.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
17.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 3:2 SevillaSevilla
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Girona
L D L L L
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 ЛевантеЛеванте
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SeltaSelta
30.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:2 SevillaSevilla
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:5 VillarrealVillarreal
15.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Girona

Athletic Club
1 matches total
Girona
Athletic Club: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Girona: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Girona 1:2 (06.10 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 06.10 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club
1:2
Girona