La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.04.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Las Palmas

Spain Futbol
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1 : 0
Finished
Las Palmas
Las Palmas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Las Palmas 23 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 5.21 / 2 9.34
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 71.1% / X 18.6% / Las Palmas 10.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 71.1%
X 18.6%
2 10.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 52.8%
Under 2.5 47.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.04.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Las Palmas

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.34 market consensus · line only
X 5.21 market consensus · line only
1 1.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
Х 5.21 19.2%
П2 9.34 10.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.39 29.5%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.07 48.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.12 89.3%
П2 7.46 13.4%
Match center
Athletic Club
L W D D W
20.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 3:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 VillarrealVillarreal
28.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Las Palmas
W W L W W
19.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
12.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 3:1 GetafeGetafe
06.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
26.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:0 GironaGirona
21.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 3:2 ValenciaValencia
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Las Palmas

Athletic Club
1 matches total
Las Palmas
Athletic Club: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Las Palmas: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Athletic Club 3:2 (15.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 15.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

15.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club
3:2
Las Palmas