PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
13.04.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
13.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
3 : 1
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Rayo Vallecano April 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.28 / 2 4.57
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 49.1% / X 29.6% / Rayo Vallecano 21.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 49.1%
X 29.6%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 13.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.57 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.98 50.5%
X 3.28 30.5%
4.57 21.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.47 40.5%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
3.21 31.2%
Match center
Athletic Club
D D W L D
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 VillarrealVillarreal
28.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
06.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 GironaGirona
29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Rayo Vallecano
L W L W D
04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 EspanyolEspanyol
26.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 AlavesAlaves
20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Valladolid
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Leganes
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points