Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

La Liga Spain

25.08.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

25.08.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Athletic Club - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football

Athletic Club

1 : 0

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Rayo Vallecano August 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.67 / 2 5.65
1X2 market: Athletic Club 57.1% / X 26.0% / Rayo Vallecano 16.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 57.1%

X 26.0%

2 16.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 44.3%

Under 2.5 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 25.08.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Athletic Club - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.67 market consensus · line only

X 3.68 market consensus · line only

1 1.67 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.22 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.28 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.09 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.68 59.5%
X	3.71 27.0%
	6.04 16.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.65 60.6%	1.64 61.0%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.75 26.7%	3.84 26.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%
	5.50 18.2%	6.10 16.4%	5.63 17.8%	5.50 18.2%	5.75 17.4%	5.90 17.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.70 58.8%	1.76 56.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.69 59.2%	1.75 57.1%
yes	2.05 48.8%	2.08 48.1%	2.04 49.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.04 49.0%	2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.20 45.5%	2.23 44.8%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.27 44.1%	2.24 44.6%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.14 87.7%	1.18 84.8%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.17 85.5%