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La Liga Spain

03.12.2025 18:00 UTC Match prediction

03.12.2025 18:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Athletic Club - Real Madrid

Spain Football

Athletic Club

0 : 3

Finished

Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Real Madrid December 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.71 / X 4.00 / 2 1.71
1X2 market: Athletic Club 20.3% / X 23.9% / Real Madrid 55.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 20.3%

X 23.9%

2 55.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 55.8%

Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.12.2025 18:00 UTC

Match center

Athletic Club - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.71 market consensus · line only

X 4.01 market consensus · line only

1 4.72 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.20 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 2.16 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.21 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.11 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.84 20.7%
X	4.15 24.1%
	1.71 58.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.55 22.0%	4.85 20.6%	4.91 20.4%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%	4.80 20.8%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.05 24.7%	4.10 24.4%	3.80 26.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.20 23.8%
	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.76 56.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.07 48.3%	2.18 45.9%
yes	1.67 59.9%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.21 82.6%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.27 78.7%
home_draw	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%	2.17 46.1%

Match center

Athletic Club

W L W L L

29.11 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:0 Levante

22.11 15:15 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:4 Barselona

09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:0 Oviedo

01.11 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:3 Real Sociedad

25.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:1 Getafe

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Real Madrid

D D D W W

30.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:1 Girona

23.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:2 Elche

09.11 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 0:0 Rayo Vallecano

01.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:0 Valencia

26.10 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Barselona

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Real Madrid

Athletic Club

1 matches total

Real Madrid

Athletic Club: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Madrid: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 0:1 (20.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 20.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.04 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Athletic Club

0:1

Real Madrid