La Liga
La Liga Spain
17.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Sevilla

Spain Futbol
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
3 : 2
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Sevilla 17 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite Fonbet: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 3.70 / 2 6.10
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 58.3% / X 26.0% / Sevilla 15.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 58.3%
X 26.0%
2 15.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · line only
X 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.25 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.55 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.67 59.9%
Х 3.68 27.2%
П2 6.24 16.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%
Х 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.87 25.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
П2 5.70 17.5% 6.00 16.7% 5.92 16.9% 5.50 18.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Athletic Club
L W W W D
25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 ValenciaValencia
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:0 GetafeGetafe
11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 AlavesAlaves
04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Sevilla
L L W L D
25.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:4 VillarrealVillarreal
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
13.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
10.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:3 SeltaSelta
04.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 Leganes
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Sevilla

Athletic Club
1 matches total
Sevilla
Athletic Club: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 29.09 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (29.09 14:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club
1:1
Sevilla