Match center
Start
09.05.2026 16:30 UTC
09.05.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид - Celta Vigo
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Celta Vigo 9 мая 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.
Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.51 / 2 3.38
- 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 44.8% / X 27.1% / Celta Vigo 28.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
44.8%
X
27.1%
2
28.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Атлетико Мадрид - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.53
Fonbet · line only
X
3.10
Fonbet · line only
1
4.53
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.71
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
1.32
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.39
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.27
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.96
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.18
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.31
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.12 47.2% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Х | 3.50 28.6% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% |
| П2 | 3.20 31.3% | 3.54 28.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.67 59.9% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 0.75 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| ТБ 1.0 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| ТБ 1.25 | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| ТБ 1.75 | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| ТБ 2.0 | — | 1.31 76.3% |
| ТБ 2.25 | — | 1.56 64.1% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — |
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.65 37.7% | — |
| ТБ 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — |
| ТМ 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — |
| ТМ 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — |
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
W
W
L
L
L
02.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
2:0
Valencia
Valencia
25.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
3:2
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
22.04 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
2:3
Эльче
Эльче
11.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:2
Sevilla
Sevilla
04.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:2
Barselona
Barselona
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
6
Points
Celta Vigo
W
L
L
L
W
03.05 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
3:1
Эльче
Эльче
26.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:2
Villarreal
Villarreal
22.04 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:1
Barselona
Barselona
12.04 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:3
Oviedo
Oviedo
05.04 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
3:2
Valencia
Valencia
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.8
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Celta Vigo
Атлетико Мадрид
2
matches total
Атлетико Мадрид: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Celta Vigo: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Madrid 1:0 (26.09 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 05.10 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (05.10 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
05.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
1:1
Selta
26.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
1:0
Selta