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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.08.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
23.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Atletico Madrid - Elche

Spain Football
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Elche August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 5.62 / 2 11.60
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 74.8% / X 17.0% / Elche 8.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 74.9%
X 16.9%
2 8.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 54.0%
Under 2.5 46.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Atletico Madrid - Elche

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.66 market consensus · line only
1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 10.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.26 79.4%
X 6.16 16.2%
11.98 8.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
X 5.40 18.5% 5.80 17.2% 5.88 17.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9%
11.00 9.1% 12.00 8.3% 12.30 8.1% 11.00 9.1% 10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.49 40.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.60 27.8% 3.82 26.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.88 25.8%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Atletico Madrid
L W W L W
17.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
25.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:0 GironaGirona
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:1 Real BetisReal Betis
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Elche
D
18.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Elche

Atletico Madrid
0 matches total
Elche
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history