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La Liga Spain

21.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Atletico Madrid - Espanyol

Spain Football

Atletico Madrid

4 : 2

Finished

Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Espanyol February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.07 / 2 6.60
1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 62.2% / X 23.4% / Espanyol 14.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 62.2%

X 23.4%

2 14.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 49.5%

Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Atletico Madrid - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.62 market consensus · line only

X 4.07 market consensus · line only

1 1.53 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.52 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.53 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.92 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.88 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.79 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.56 64.1%
X	4.06 24.6%
	6.86 14.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.59 62.9%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.20 23.8%	4.15 24.1%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.05 24.7%
	6.60 15.2%	6.30 15.9%	6.91 14.5%	6.00 16.7%	7.00 14.3%	6.90 14.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.74 57.5%	1.81 55.3%
yes	1.95 51.3%	2.01 49.8%	1.98 50.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.40 41.7%	2.52 39.7%	2.60 38.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.14 87.7%	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Atletico Madrid

L L D W W

15.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 0:3 Rayo Vallecano

08.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 0:1 Real Betis

31.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 0:0 Levante

25.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 3:0 Mallorca

18.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:0 Alaves

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

7 Points

Espanyol

D L L L L

14.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:2 Selta

09.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:4 Villarreal

30.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:2 Alaves

24.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:3 Valencia

16.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 0:2 Girona

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.6 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Espanyol

Atletico Madrid

1 matches total

Espanyol

Atletico Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Espanyol: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Espanyol 1:2 (17.08 19:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 17.08 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.08 19:30 UTC

La Liga

Atletiko Madrid

1:2

Espanyol