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La Liga Spain

14.03.2026 15:15 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 15:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Atletico Madrid - Getafe

Spain Football

Atletico Madrid

1 : 0

Finished

Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Getafe March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.49 / 2 6.45
1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 57.6% / X 27.5% / Getafe 14.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 57.6%

X 27.5%

2 14.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 36.9%

Under 2.5 63.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 15:15 UTC

Match center

Atletico Madrid - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.48 market consensus · line only

X 3.50 market consensus · line only

1 1.67 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.28 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.69 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.52 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.67 59.9%
X	3.53 28.3%
	6.68 15.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.66 60.2%	1.71 58.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.54 28.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.45 29.0%	3.53 28.3%	3.53 28.3%
	6.20 16.1%	6.76 14.8%	6.25 16.0%	6.60 15.2%	6.68 15.0%	6.68 15.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.52 65.8%	1.51 66.2%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.55 64.5%
yes	2.56 39.1%	2.41 41.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.41 41.5%	2.56 39.1%	2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	2.27 44.1%	2.25 44.4%	2.27 44.1%	2.32 43.1%	2.32 43.1%	2.25 44.4%
home_away	1.35 74.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.14 87.7%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.11 90.1%

Match center

Atletico Madrid

W W W L L

07.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 3:2 Real Sociedad

28.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:0 Oviedo

21.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 4:2 Espanyol

15.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 0:3 Rayo Vallecano

08.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 0:1 Real Betis

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

9 Points

Getafe

W W L W W

08.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:0 Real Betis

02.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 1:0 Real Madrid

22.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:1 Sevilla

14.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:1 Villarreal

08.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:0 Alaves

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.4 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Getafe

Atletico Madrid

1 matches total

Getafe

Atletico Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Getafe: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Atletiko Madrid 1:0 (23.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 23.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.11 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Atletiko Madrid

1:0

Getafe