La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.10.2024 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Атлетико Мадрид - Leganes

Spain Futbol
Атлетико Мадрид
Атлетико Мадрид
3 : 1
Finished
Leganes
Leganes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Leganes 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.

Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.62 / 2 9.54
  • 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 68.8% / X 21.0% / Leganes 10.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 68.8%
X 21.0%
2 10.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 46.7%
Under 2.5 53.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 14:15 UTC
Match center

Атлетико Мадрид - Leganes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.54 market consensus · line only
X 4.62 market consensus · line only
1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.41 70.9%
Х 4.62 21.7%
П2 9.54 10.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.15 31.8%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.08 48.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.82 55.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.12 89.3%
П2 7.48 13.4%
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
D D W D W
06.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
29.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 1:0 SeltaSelta
22.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 3:0 ValenciaValencia
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Leganes
D D D L L
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 0:0 ValenciaValencia
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Leganes 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
22.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 1:1 GetafeGetafe
19.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 0:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 0:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points