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La Liga Spain

18.10.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction

18.10.2025 19:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Atletico Madrid - Osasuna

Spain Football

Atletico Madrid

1 : 0

Finished

Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Osasuna October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.10 / 2 8.90
1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 70.2% / X 18.9% / Osasuna 10.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 70.3%

X 18.9%

2 10.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%

Over 2.5 56.1%

Under 2.5 43.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.10.2025 19:00 UTC

Match center

Atletico Madrid - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.99 market consensus · line only

X 5.10 market consensus · line only

1 1.37 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.22 market consensus · line only

12 1.19 market consensus · line only

1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.25 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.42 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.81 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.37 73.0%
X	5.12 19.5%
	9.58 10.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.37 73.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.37 73.0%	1.37 73.0%
X	5.30 18.9%	5.10 19.6%	5.25 19.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.12 19.5%	5.12 19.5%
	8.20 12.2%	9.55 10.5%	7.50 13.3%	9.40 10.6%	9.58 10.4%	9.58 10.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%
yes	2.01 49.8%	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	3.22 31.1%	3.00 33.3%	3.28 30.5%	3.35 29.9%	3.35 29.9%	3.10 32.3%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%
home_draw	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.08 92.6%	1.09 91.7%	1.09 91.7%	1.07 93.5%

Match center

Atletico Madrid

D W W D W

05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:1 Selta

27.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 5:2 Real Madrid

24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 3:2 Rayo Vallecano

21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:1 Mallorca

13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 2:0 Villarreal

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

11 Points

Osasuna

W L D L W

03.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:1 Getafe

28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 0:2 Real Betis

25.09 17:30 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 1:1 Elche

20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 1:2 Villarreal

14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:0 Rayo Vallecano

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Osasuna

Atletico Madrid

1 matches total

Osasuna

Atletico Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Osasuna: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Osasuna 0:2 (15.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 15.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

15.05 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Atletiko Madrid

0:2

Osasuna