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La Liga
La Liga Spain
29.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Atletico Madrid - Oviedo

Spain Football
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Oviedo November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 6.00 / 2 12.76
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 76.6% / X 15.9% / Oviedo 7.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 76.7%
X 15.9%
2 7.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Atletico Madrid - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.26 79.4%
X 5.89 17.0%
12.83 7.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7%
X 6.20 16.1% 6.40 15.6% 6.18 16.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.10 16.4%
10.50 9.5% 12.50 8.0% 14.10 7.1% 13.00 7.7% 12.00 8.3% 13.50 7.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.44 41.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.44 41.0% 2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.90 25.6% 4.12 24.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 4.05 24.7% 4.15 24.1%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Atletico Madrid
W W W W W
23.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:0 GetafeGetafe
08.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:1 LevanteLevante
01.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:0 SevillaSevilla
27.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 2:0 Real BetisReal Betis
18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
15 Points
Oviedo
D L D D L
23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
03.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
25.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 3:3 GironaGirona
17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Oviedo

Atletico Madrid
0 matches total
Oviedo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history