La Liga Spain

24.04.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction

24.04.2025 19:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Futbol

Атлетико Мадрид

3 : 0

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano 24 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.

Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.39 / 2 7.21
1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 64.5% / X 22.1% / Rayo Vallecano 13.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%

1 64.5%

X 22.0%

2 13.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%

Over 2.5 48.6%

Under 2.5 51.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 24.04.2025 19:30 UTC

Match center

Атлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.21 market consensus · line only

X 4.39 market consensus · line only

1 1.50 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.76 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.50 66.7%
Х	4.39 22.8%
П2	7.21 13.9%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.76 36.2%
home_away	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	2.01 49.8%
ТМ 2.5	1.90 52.6%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.17 85.5%
П2	5.59 17.9%

Match center

Атлетико Мадрид

L W W L W

19.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 0:1 Las Palmas

14.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 4:2 Valladolid

06.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 2:1 Sevilla

27.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 0:1 Реал Бетис

20.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 3:1 Leganes

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

Rayo Vallecano

D L L W L

19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Valencia

13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Athletic Club

04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:4 Espanyol

26.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Alaves

20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:1 Mallorca

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano

Атлетико Мадрид

1 matches total

Rayo Vallecano

Атлетико Мадрид: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 22.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (22.09 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.09 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Atletiko Madrid

1:1

Rayo Vallecano