Match center
Start
24.09.2025 19:30 UTC
24.09.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano 24 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.
Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.31 / 2 7.09
- 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 64.5% / X 22.1% / Rayo Vallecano 13.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
64.6%
X
22.0%
2
13.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Атлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.13
market consensus · line only
X
4.31
market consensus · line only
1
1.47
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.65
market consensus · line only
12
1.22
market consensus · line only
1X
1.11
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.67
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.06
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.38
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.88
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.96
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.79
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.98
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.47 68.0% |
| Х | 4.42 22.6% |
| П2 | 7.70 13.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.45 69.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.53 65.4% |
| Х | 4.40 22.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.25 23.5% |
| П2 | 6.80 14.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.26 13.8% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.30 13.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.79 55.9% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.11 47.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.65 37.7% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.72 36.8% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_draw | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% |
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
D
W
D
D
L
21.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
13.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
30.08 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Alaves
Alaves
23.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Эльче
Эльче
17.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Rayo Vallecano
D
L
D
L
W
21.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Selta
Selta
14.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
31.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Barselona
Barselona
25.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
15.08 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3:1
Girona
Girona
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Rayo Vallecano
Атлетико Мадрид
2
matches total
Атлетико Мадрид: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Rayo Vallecano: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Madrid 3:0 (24.04 19:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (3:0, 24.04 19:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (22.09 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
24.04 19:30 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
3:0
Rayo Vallecano
22.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
1:1
Rayo Vallecano