Match center
Start
29.09.2024 19:00 UTC
29.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid 29 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.92 / X 3.28 / 2 2.63
- 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 33.3% / X 29.7% / Real Madrid 37.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.8%
1
33.3%
X
29.7%
2
37.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Атлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid
Form
3/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.63
market consensus · line only
X
3.28
market consensus · line only
1
2.92
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.42
market consensus · line only
12
1.39
market consensus · line only
1X
1.56
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.98
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.92 34.3% |
| Х | 3.28 30.5% |
| П2 | 2.63 38.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.42 70.4% |
| home_away | 1.39 71.9% |
| home_draw | 1.56 64.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.98 50.5% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.05 48.8% |
| П2 | 1.83 54.6% |
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
W
D
W
26.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:0
Selta
Selta
22.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
15.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
3:0
Valencia
Valencia
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.7
Scored
0.3
Conceded
7
Points
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
24.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:2
Alaves
Alaves
21.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
14.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
01.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
4
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid
Атлетико Мадрид
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals