Match center
Start
27.09.2025 14:15 UTC
27.09.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid
5
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid 27 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.16 / X 3.50 / 2 2.24
- 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 30.2% / X 27.3% / Real Madrid 42.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
30.2%
X
27.2%
2
42.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Атлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.24
market consensus · line only
X
3.51
market consensus · line only
1
3.17
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.37
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.67
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.16
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.21
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.33
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.09
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.26
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.60
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.30 30.3% |
| Х | 3.61 27.7% |
| П2 | 2.23 44.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.26 30.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.10 32.3% |
| Х | 3.45 29.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.40 29.4% |
| П2 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.20 45.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% |
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
W
D
W
D
D
24.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
3:2
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
21.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
13.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
30.08 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Alaves
Alaves
23.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Эльче
Эльче
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
23.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Леванте
Леванте
20.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Espanyol
Espanyol
13.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
30.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
24.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.6
Scored
0.6
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Real Madrid
Атлетико Мадрид
1
matches total
Атлетико Мадрид: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Real Madrid: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 29.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (29.09 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
29.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
1:1
Real Madrid