La Liga Spain

10.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction

10.05.2025 19:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol

Атлетико Мадрид

4 : 0

Finished

Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad 10 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.

Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.50 / 2 4.80
1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 52.0% / X 27.8% / Real Sociedad 20.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%

1 52.0%

X 27.8%

2 20.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%

Over 2.5 41.8%

Under 2.5 58.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 10.05.2025 19:00 UTC

Match center

Атлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.80 market consensus · line only

X 3.50 market consensus · line only

1 1.87 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.02 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.87 53.5%
Х	3.50 28.6%
П2	4.80 20.8%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.02 49.5%
home_away	1.34 74.6%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	2.31 43.3%
ТМ 2.5	1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.34 74.6%
П2	3.47 28.8%

Match center

Атлетико Мадрид

D W L W W

03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 0:0 Alaves

24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 3:0 Rayo Vallecano

19.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 0:1 Las Palmas

14.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 4:2 Valladolid

06.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Атлетико Мадрид 2:1 Sevilla

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Real Sociedad

D L D L W

04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:0 Athletic Club

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:1 Alaves

20.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:2 Villarreal

12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:2 Mallorca

06.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:1 Las Palmas

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad

Атлетико Мадрид

1 matches total

Real Sociedad

Атлетико Мадрид: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 06.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.10 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Atletiko Madrid

1:1

Real Sociedad