Match center
Start
07.03.2026 17:30 UTC
07.03.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad 7 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.
Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.77 / 2 4.67
- 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 54.3% / X 25.3% / Real Sociedad 20.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
54.4%
X
25.2%
2
20.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Атлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.68
market consensus · line only
X
3.77
market consensus · line only
1
1.76
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.10
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.19
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.65
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.40
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.05
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.05
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.73
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.79 55.9% |
| Х | 3.79 26.4% |
| П2 | 4.78 20.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Х | 3.65 27.4% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.91 25.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% |
| П2 | 4.85 20.6% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.81 20.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.85 20.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.13 47.0% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.10 47.6% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.17 85.5% |
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
W
W
L
L
D
28.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
21.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
4:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
15.02 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
0:3
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
08.02 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
0:1
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
31.01 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
0:0
Леванте
Леванте
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
7
Points
Real Sociedad
W
D
L
W
D
28.02 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:0
Mallorca
Mallorca
21.02 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3:3
Oviedo
Oviedo
14.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:4
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
07.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3:1
Эльче
Эльче
01.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Real Sociedad
Атлетико Мадрид
3
matches total
Атлетико Мадрид: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (66.7%)
Real Sociedad: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Madrid 4:0 (10.05 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (4:0, 10.05 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (04.01 20:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
1:1
Real Sociedad
10.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
4:0
Real Sociedad
06.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
1:1
Real Sociedad