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La Liga Spain

01.11.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction

01.11.2025 15:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Atletico Madrid - Sevilla

Spain Football

Atletico Madrid

3 : 0

Finished

Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Sevilla November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 5.24 / 2 8.84
1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 70.8% / X 18.3% / Sevilla 10.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 70.8%

X 18.4%

2 10.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%

Over 2.5 57.2%

Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.11.2025 15:15 UTC

Match center

Atletico Madrid - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.92 market consensus · line only

X 5.27 market consensus · line only

1 1.35 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.33 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.32 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.52 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.79 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.34 74.6%
X	5.44 18.4%
	9.46 10.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.35 74.1%	1.40 71.4%	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%
X	5.30 18.9%	5.41 18.5%	5.00 20.0%	5.30 18.9%	5.44 18.4%	5.44 18.4%
	8.80 11.4%	8.65 11.6%	9.00 11.1%	8.50 11.8%	9.46 10.6%	9.46 10.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.76 56.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.73 57.8%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%
yes	2.08 48.1%	1.99 50.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.99 50.3%	2.06 48.5%	1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	3.22 31.1%	3.25 30.8%	3.28 30.5%	3.52 28.4%	3.52 28.4%	3.20 31.3%
home_away	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.09 91.7%	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%	1.09 91.7%	1.09 91.7%	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Atletico Madrid

W W D W W

27.10 20:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 2:0 Real Betis

18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:0 Osasuna

05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:1 Selta

27.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 5:2 Real Madrid

24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 3:2 Rayo Vallecano

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

Sevilla

L L W W L

24.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:2 Real Sociedad

18.10 12:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:3 Mallorca

05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 4:1 Barselona

28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:0 Rayo Vallecano

23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:2 Villarreal

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Sevilla

Atletico Madrid

1 matches total

Sevilla

Atletico Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Sevilla: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Atletiko Madrid 2:1 (06.04 14:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 06.04 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.04 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Atletiko Madrid

2:1

Sevilla