La Liga
La Liga Spain
13.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Атлетико Мадрид - Valencia

Spain Futbol
Атлетико Мадрид
Атлетико Мадрид
2 : 1
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Valencia 13 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.

Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.35 / 2 9.34
  • 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 72.0% / X 17.8% / Valencia 10.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 72.0%
X 17.8%
2 10.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 59.9%
Under 2.5 40.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Атлетико Мадрид - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.27 market consensus · line only
X 5.36 market consensus · line only
1 1.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.68 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.55 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.33 75.2%
Х 5.52 18.1%
П2 9.48 10.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1%
Х 5.40 18.5% 5.40 18.5% 5.49 18.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.60 17.9%
П2 8.75 11.4% 9.40 10.6% 9.05 11.1% 9.50 10.5% 10.00 10.0% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.38 29.6%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
L L W W W
06.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
02.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
29.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 2:0 OviedoOviedo
23.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 1:0 GetafeGetafe
08.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 3:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Valencia
D D W D L
07.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 SevillaSevilla
01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:0 ЛевантеЛеванте
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
01.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyАтлетико Мадрид - Valencia

Атлетико Мадрид
1 matches total
Valencia
Атлетико Мадрид: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Valencia: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atletiko Madrid 3:0 (15.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 15.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
3:0
Valencia