Match center
Start
29.11.2025 15:15 UTC
29.11.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Barcelona - Alaves
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barcelona - Alaves 29 ноября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 6.79 / 2 12.73
- 1X2 market: Barcelona 78.4% / X 14.1% / Alaves 7.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 67.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
78.4%
X
14.1%
2
7.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Barcelona - Alaves
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.83
market consensus · line only
1
1.22
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.35
market consensus · line only
12
1.11
market consensus · line only
1X
1.04
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.08
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.36
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.21
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.93
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.89
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.86
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Х | 7.36 13.6% |
| П2 | 13.17 7.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
| Х | 6.25 16.0% | 7.30 13.7% | 6.98 14.3% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.50 15.4% |
| П2 | 13.50 7.4% | 12.00 8.3% | 13.10 7.6% | 12.00 8.3% | 13.00 7.7% | 14.50 6.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.98 50.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.20 23.8% | 4.34 23.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.35 23.0% |
| home_away | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% |
Match center
Barcelona
W
W
W
L
W
22.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
4:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
09.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
4:2
Selta
Selta
02.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:1
Эльче
Эльче
26.10 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
1:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
18.10 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
2:1
Girona
Girona
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
12
Points
Alaves
L
L
W
L
D
22.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Selta
Selta
08.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Girona
Girona
02.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
2:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
26.10 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
20.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
0:0
Valencia
Valencia
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Alaves
Barcelona
1
matches total
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Alaves: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Barselona 3:0 (06.10 14:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (3:0, 06.10 14:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
06.10 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Barselona
3:0
Alaves