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Start
02.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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02.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Barcelona - Atletico Madrid
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barcelona - Atletico Madrid December 2, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 4.20 / 2 4.07
- 1X2 market: Barcelona 53.9% / X 22.7% / Atletico Madrid 23.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 67.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
53.9%
X
22.7%
2
23.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Barcelona - Atletico Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.08
market consensus · line only
X
4.20
market consensus · line only
1
1.77
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.06
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.25
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.09
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.67
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.83
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.91
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.78
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.41
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | |
| X | 4.25 23.5% |
| 4.23 23.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 4.20 23.8% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.36 22.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.30 23.3% |
| 4.00 25.0% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.16 24.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.20 23.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% | 2.93 34.1% | 2.66 37.6% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.93 34.1% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.44 69.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.07 48.3% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
Match center
Barcelona
W
W
W
W
L
29.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:1
Alaves
Alaves
22.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
4:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
09.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
4:2
Selta
Selta
02.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:1
Elche
Elche
26.10 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
1:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
12
Points
Atletico Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
29.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
2:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
23.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
1:0
Getafe
Getafe
08.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
3:1
Levante
Levante
01.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
3:0
Sevilla
Sevilla
27.10 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
2:0
Real Betis
Real Betis
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.2
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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