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La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.04.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Barcelona
Barcelona
4 : 3
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Celta Vigo April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 6.88 / 2 10.10
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 76.5% / X 14.0% / Celta Vigo 9.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 76.5%
X 14.0%
2 9.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.88 market consensus · line only
1 1.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.26 79.4%
X 6.88 14.5%
10.10 9.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.11 24.3%
home_away 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 3.5 2.13 47.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.09 91.7%
8.66 11.6%
Match center
Barcelona
W D W W W
12.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 Leganes
05.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
26.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 5:1 SevillaSevilla
06.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 AlavesAlaves
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Celta Vigo
L W L L W
12.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
27.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:3 Leganes
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Celta Vigo

Barcelona
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history