La Liga
La Liga Spain
21.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Getafe

Spain Futbol
Barcelona
Barcelona
3 : 0
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Getafe 21 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 6.28 / 2 11.27
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 76.4% / X 15.1% / Getafe 8.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 76.5%
X 15.1%
2 8.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Under 2.5 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 21.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 10.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.03 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 9.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.24 80.7%
Х 6.72 14.9%
П2 11.87 8.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
П1 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.18 84.8%
Х 6.40 15.6% 6.40 15.6% 6.27 16.0% 5.75 17.4% 6.20 16.1% 6.00 16.7%
П2 10.75 9.3% 11.50 8.7% 12.20 8.2% 10.00 10.0% 12.50 8.0% 12.00 8.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.43 22.6%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Barcelona
W D W W W
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 6:0 ValenciaValencia
31.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
23.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:2 ЛевантеЛеванте
16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Getafe
W L W W L
13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 OviedoOviedo
29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:3 ValenciaValencia
25.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 SevillaSevilla
17.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 SeltaSelta
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 SeltaSelta
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Getafe

Barcelona
1 matches total
Getafe
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Getafe: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 1:0 (25.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 25.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barselona
1:0
Getafe