La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.10.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Girona

Spain Futbol
Barcelona
Barcelona
2 : 1
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Girona 18 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 7.22 / 2 12.59
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 79.0% / X 13.3% / Girona 7.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 71.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 79.1%
X 13.3%
2 7.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 71.8%
Under 2.5 28.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.26 market consensus · line only
1 1.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.20 83.3%
Х 7.48 13.4%
П2 13.63 7.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
Х 7.30 13.7% 7.50 13.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.30 13.7% 7.48 13.4% 7.48 13.4%
П2 11.50 8.7% 12.90 7.8% 13.00 7.7% 12.50 8.0% 13.63 7.3% 13.63 7.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.06 48.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 4.52 22.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.65 21.5% 5.02 19.9% 5.02 19.9% 4.00 25.0%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Barcelona
L W W W W
05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:4 SevillaSevilla
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:1 OviedoOviedo
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 GetafeGetafe
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 6:0 ValenciaValencia
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Girona
W D D L D
04.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 ValenciaValencia
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 ЛевантеЛеванте
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SeltaSelta
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Girona

Barcelona
1 matches total
Girona
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Girona: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 4:1 (15.09 14:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 15.09 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barselona
4:1
Girona