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La Liga Spain

11.05.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction

11.05.2025 14:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Barcelona - Real Madrid

Spain Football

Barcelona

4 : 3

Finished

Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Real Madrid May 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 4.43 / 2 3.72
1X2 market: Barcelona 52.0% / X 21.9% / Real Madrid 26.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%

1 52.0%

X 21.9%

2 26.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.05.2025 14:15 UTC

Match center

Barcelona - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.72 market consensus · line only

X 4.43 market consensus · line only

1 1.87 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.99 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.87 53.5%
X	4.43 22.6%
	3.72 26.9%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.99 50.3%
home_away	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 3.5	1.75 57.1%
Under 3.5	2.17 46.1%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.45 69.0%
	2.90 34.5%

Match center

Barcelona

W W W W D

03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:1 Valladolid

22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:0 Mallorca

19.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 4:3 Selta

12.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:0 Leganes

05.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:1 Real Betis

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

Real Madrid

W W W W L

04.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 3:2 Selta

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:0 Getafe

20.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:0 Athletic Club

13.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:0 Alaves

05.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:2 Valencia

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Real Madrid

Barcelona

1 matches total

Real Madrid

Barcelona: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Madrid: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Barselona 4:0 (26.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 26.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Barselona

4:0

Real Madrid