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La Liga
La Liga Spain
35 round 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC 35 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Real Madrid

Spain Football
Stadium Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys
Barcelona
Barcelona
2 : 0
Finished
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Real Madrid May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 4.69 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 57.5% / X 20.3% / Real Madrid 22.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 71.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 57.6%
X 20.3%
2 22.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5 71.4%
Under 2.5 28.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Spotifay Kamp Nou (Barselona, Spain), 62 213 zriteley (63% pri vmestimosti 99 354)
Referee Alekhandro Ernandes (Santa-Krus-de-Tenerife)
Start 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Real Madrid

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Barcelona - Real Madrid, 10 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 35 round. Barcelona - Real Madrid, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.27 market consensus · line only
X 4.64 market consensus · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.27 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.61 62.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7%
X 4.65 21.5% 4.94 20.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.70 21.3% 4.75 21.1%
4.20 23.8% 4.49 22.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 3.20 31.3% 2.73 36.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.91 34.4% 3.00 33.3%
yes 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.35 74.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.07 93.5% 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.75 — 1.07 93.5%
Over 2.0 — 1.08 92.6%
Over 2.25 — 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.75 — 1.37 73.0%
Over 3.5 1.67 59.9% —
Over 4.5 2.50 40.0% —
Over 5.5 4.20 23.8% —
Under 1.5 8.00 12.5% —
Under 2.5 3.75 26.7% —
Under 3.5 2.15 46.5% —
Under 4.5 1.50 66.7% —
Under 5.5 1.22 82.0% —
Match center
Barcelona

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Real Madrid

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Khofre Torrents Lamin Yamal Travmirovannye Rodrigo Eder Militao Arda Gyuler Ferlan Mendi Daniel Karvakhal Federiko Valverde
Match center
Barcelona
W W W W W
02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 OsasunaOsasuna
25.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 GetafeGetafe
22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 SeltaSelta
11.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Real Madrid
W D W D L
03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
24.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 AlavesAlaves
10.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:1 GironaGirona
04.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:2 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Real Madrid

Barcelona
3 matches total
Real Madrid
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Madrid: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 4:0 (26.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (4:3, 11.05 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barselona
1:2
Real Madrid
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barselona
4:3
Real Madrid
26.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barselona
4:0
Real Madrid
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Barcelona
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Real Madrid
Barcelona Team comparison Real Madrid
34 Games 34
29 Wins 24
1 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
89 Scored 70
31 Conceded 31
88 Points 77
116.29 Attacks 118.84
65 Dangerous attacks 62.39
0 Big chances 0
18.97 Shots on goal 17.79
7.03 Shots on target 6.88
iya 1.82 0.06 Sendoffs 0.18 Goly Markus Rashford 1:0 9' Ferran Torres Dani Olmo 2:0 18' Nakazaniya Eduardu Kamavinga 40' Raul Asensio 52' Dani Olmo 52' Dzhud Bellingem 55' Rafinya 81' Trent Aleksander-Arnold 81'

Barcelona Real Madrid 34 Games 34 29 Wins 24 1 Draws 5 4 Losses 5 89 Scored 70 31 Conceded 31 88 Points 77 116.29 Attacks 118.84 65 Dangerous attacks 62.39 0 Big chances 0 18.97 Shots on goal 17.79 7.03 Udary v stvor 6.88 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 7.03 Uglovye 6.47 2.26 Offsaydy 1.91 9.29 Foly 9.94 68.97 % vladeniya myachom 59.32 1.47 Warnings 1.82 0.06 Sendoffs 0.18 Goly Markus Rashford 1:0 9' Ferran Torres Dani Olmo 2:0 18' Nakazaniya Eduardu Kamavinga 40' Raul Asensio 52' Dani Olmo 52' Dzhud Bellingem 55' Rafinya 81' Trent Aleksander-Arnold 81'