La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.03.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Sevilla

Spain Futbol
Barcelona
Barcelona
5 : 2
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Sevilla 15 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 6.05 / 2 9.65
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 74.3% / X 15.8% / Sevilla 9.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 74.4%
X 15.7%
2 9.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 69.5%
Under 2.5 30.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.07 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 9.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.97 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.65 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
Х 6.27 16.0%
П2 10.13 9.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3%
Х 5.50 18.2% 6.30 15.9% 6.40 15.6% 5.50 18.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.00 16.7%
П2 9.10 11.0% 9.40 10.6% 10.20 9.8% 9.00 11.1% 10.00 10.0% 10.50 9.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.50 28.6% 3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Barcelona
W W W L W
07.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
28.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:1 VillarrealVillarreal
22.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 ЛевантеЛеванте
16.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:2 GironaGirona
07.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Sevilla
D D W D D
08.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
01.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
22.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 GetafeGetafe
14.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 AlavesAlaves
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 GironaGirona
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Sevilla

Barcelona
2 matches total
Sevilla
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sevilla: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 5:1 (20.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 20.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barselona
1:4
Sevilla
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barselona
5:1
Sevilla