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La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.09.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
14.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Valencia

Spain Football
Barcelona
Barcelona
6 : 0
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Valencia September 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.93 / 2 9.11
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 73.4% / X 16.1% / Valencia 10.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 73.4%
X 16.1%
2 10.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 67.4%
Under 2.5 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 8.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.83 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.55 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.30 76.9%
X 5.97 16.8%
10.12 9.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2%
X 5.75 17.4% 6.10 16.4% 6.11 16.4% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1%
8.60 11.6% 9.00 11.1% 9.40 10.6% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 3.40 29.4% 3.56 28.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Barcelona
D W W W L
31.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
23.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:2 LevanteLevante
16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:3 VillarrealVillarreal
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Valencia
W L D D L
29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:0 GetafeGetafe
24.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 OsasunaOsasuna
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
23.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Valencia

Barcelona
0 matches total
Valencia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history