La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Villarreal

Spain Futbol
Barcelona
Barcelona
2 : 3
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Villarreal 18 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 4.47 / 2 4.04
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 54.4% / X 21.7% / Villarreal 24.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 54.4%
X 21.7%
2 24.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.04 market consensus · line only
X 4.47 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.78 56.2%
Х 4.47 22.4%
П2 4.04 24.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.08 48.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 3.5 2.28 43.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
П2 3.16 31.7%
Match center
Barcelona
W W W W W
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 Valladolid
22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 MallorcaMallorca
19.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:3 SeltaSelta
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
15 Points
Villarreal
W W W W L
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:0 Leganes
10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 GironaGirona
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:2 OsasunaOsasuna
27.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:3 SeltaSelta
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Villarreal

Barcelona
1 matches total
Villarreal
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Villarreal: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 5:1 (22.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 22.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barselona
5:1
Villarreal