Match center
Start
28.02.2026 15:15 UTC
28.02.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Barcelona - Villarreal
4
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barcelona - Villarreal 28 февраля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.71 / 2 6.79
- 1X2 market: Barcelona 69.3% / X 16.7% / Villarreal 14.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 74.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
69.4%
X
16.6%
2
14.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5
74.7%
Under 2.5
25.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Barcelona - Villarreal
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.83
market consensus · line only
X
5.73
market consensus · line only
1
1.37
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.15
market consensus · line only
12
1.14
market consensus · line only
1X
1.11
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.24
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.54
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.30
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.70
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.69
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.43
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.37 73.0% |
| Х | 5.99 16.7% |
| П2 | 7.32 13.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.37 73.0% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.40 71.4% |
| Х | 5.75 17.4% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.04 16.6% | 5.00 20.0% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.70 17.5% |
| П2 | 6.00 16.7% | 6.90 14.5% | 6.55 15.3% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.50 13.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.62 38.2% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.87 34.8% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.46 68.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.00 33.3% | 3.04 32.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.30 30.3% |
| home_away | 1.10 90.9% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.10 90.9% |
| home_draw | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.06 94.3% |
Match center
Barcelona
W
L
W
W
W
22.02 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:0
Леванте
Леванте
16.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
1:2
Girona
Girona
07.02 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:0
Mallorca
Mallorca
31.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:1
Эльче
Эльче
25.01 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
0.6
Conceded
12
Points
Villarreal
W
W
L
W
D
22.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Valencia
Valencia
18.02 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
1:0
Леванте
Леванте
14.02 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
1:2
Getafe
Getafe
09.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
4:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
31.01 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Villarreal
Barcelona
3
matches total
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Villarreal: 3 (100%)
Biggest win
Barselona 5:1 (22.09 16:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (5:1, 22.09 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
21.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Barselona
2:0
Villarreal
18.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Barselona
2:3
Villarreal
22.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Barselona
5:1
Villarreal