La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Athletic Club

Spain Futbol
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
2 : 0
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Athletic Club 14 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.81 / X 3.10 / 2 2.68
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 33.9% / X 30.7% / Athletic Club 35.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 33.8%
X 30.7%
2 35.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.68 market consensus · line only
X 3.11 market consensus · line only
1 2.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.92 34.3%
Х 3.14 31.9%
П2 2.73 36.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.78 36.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.87 34.8%
Х 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.21 31.2% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.81 35.6% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Celta Vigo
W L W L W
07.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
30.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
22.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 AlavesAlaves
09.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:4 BarselonaBarselona
02.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Athletic Club
W L W L W
06.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
03.12 18:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
29.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:0 ЛевантеЛеванте
22.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:4 BarselonaBarselona
09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 OviedoOviedo
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Athletic Club

Celta Vigo
1 matches total
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Athletic Club: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Athletic Club 1:3 (22.09 14:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 22.09 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Selta
1:3
Athletic Club