La Liga
La Liga Spain
26.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Атлетико Мадрид

Spain Futbol
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
0 : 1
Finished
Атлетико Мадрид
Атлетико Мадрид

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Атлетико Мадрид 26 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.

Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.29 / X 3.63 / 2 1.92
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 22.6% / X 26.8% / Атлетико Мадрид 50.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 22.6%
X 26.8%
2 50.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Атлетико Мадрид

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.63 market consensus · line only
1 4.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.99 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.29 23.3%
Х 3.63 27.6%
П2 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.99 50.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.94 51.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.96 51.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.14 31.9%
П2 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Celta Vigo
L W L
22.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:1 Valladolid
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
3 Points
Атлетико Мадрид
D W
22.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 3:0 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points