Match center
Start
05.10.2025 19:00 UTC
05.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Celta Vigo - Атлетико Мадрид
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Атлетико Мадрид 5 октября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.
Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.56 / X 3.70 / 2 1.78
- 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 20.9% / X 25.8% / Атлетико Мадрид 53.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
20.9%
X
25.7%
2
53.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
50.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celta Vigo - Атлетико Мадрид
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.79
market consensus · line only
X
3.70
market consensus · line only
1
4.56
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.20
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
2.05
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.23
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.44
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.93
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.99
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.77
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.63 21.6% |
| Х | 3.78 26.5% |
| П2 | 1.82 55.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 4.40 22.7% | 4.40 22.7% | 5.06 19.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.55 22.0% |
| Х | 3.75 26.7% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% |
| П2 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.06 48.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.13 47.0% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.10 47.6% |
Match center
Celta Vigo
L
D
D
D
D
28.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:2
Эльче
Эльче
21.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
14.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:1
Girona
Girona
31.08 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:1
Villarreal
Villarreal
27.08 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:1
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
0
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
4
Points
Атлетико Мадрид
W
W
D
W
D
27.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
5:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
24.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
3:2
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
21.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
13.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
30.08 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Alaves
Alaves
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Атлетико Мадрид
Celta Vigo
1
matches total
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Атлетико Мадрид: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Madrid 0:1 (26.09 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 26.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
26.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Selta
0:1
Atletiko Madrid