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La Liga Spain

09.11.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction

09.11.2025 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Celta Vigo - Barcelona

Spain Football

Celta Vigo

2 : 4

Finished

Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Barcelona November 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.19 / X 4.23 / 2 1.74
1X2 market: Celta Vigo 22.8% / X 22.5% / Barcelona 54.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 68.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 22.7%

X 22.5%

2 54.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 68.6%

Under 2.5 31.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 09.11.2025 20:00 UTC

Match center

Celta Vigo - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.74 market consensus · line only

X 4.23 market consensus · line only

1 4.19 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.23 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 2.10 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.21 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.37 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.00 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.86 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.39 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.33 23.1%
X	4.23 23.6%
	1.77 56.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.10 24.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.38 22.8%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.30 23.3%
X	4.35 23.0%	4.40 22.7%	4.36 22.9%	4.00 25.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.30 23.3%
	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.79 55.9%	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.78 56.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.80 35.7%	2.95 33.9%	2.85 35.1%	2.80 35.7%	2.75 36.4%	2.77 36.1%	3.00 33.3%	2.80 35.7%	2.98 33.6%
yes	1.38 72.5%	1.41 70.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	2.05 48.8%	2.14 46.7%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.12 47.2%	2.12 47.2%

Match center

Celta Vigo

W W D D L

02.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:1 Levante

26.10 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 3:2 Osasuna

19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Real Sociedad

05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:2 Elche

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Barcelona

W L W L W

02.11 17:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 3:1 Elche

26.10 15:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid

18.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:1 Girona

05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:4 Sevilla

28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:1 Real Sociedad

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Barcelona

Celta Vigo

1 matches total

Barcelona

Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Barcelona: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Barselona 3:4 (19.04 14:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 7 goals (3:4, 19.04 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.04 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Selta

3:4

Barselona