La Liga
La Liga Spain
29.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Girona

Spain Futbol
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Girona 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.46 / 2 3.07
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 40.1% / X 28.2% / Girona 31.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.6%
1 40.1%
X 28.2%
2 31.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 54.0%
Under 2.5 46.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Girona

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.07 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.43 41.2%
Х 3.46 28.9%
П2 3.07 32.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.42 70.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 2.5 2.11 47.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.72 58.1%
П2 2.21 45.3%
Match center
Celta Vigo
L L W L
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
22.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:1 Valladolid
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Girona
D L L W
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:2 ValenciaValencia
15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
01.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:0 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Girona

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Girona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history