La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.09.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Girona

Spain Futbol
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Girona 14 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.01 / 2 5.48
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 58.8% / X 23.7% / Girona 17.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 58.8%
X 23.8%
2 17.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.02 market consensus · line only
1 1.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.23 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.62 61.7%
Х 4.06 24.6%
П2 5.79 17.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%
Х 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.25 23.5% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7%
П2 5.60 17.9% 5.70 17.5% 5.74 17.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 2.10 47.6% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.06 48.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Celta Vigo
D D D L W
31.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 VillarrealVillarreal
27.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
23.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 MallorcaMallorca
17.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:2 GetafeGetafe
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 GetafeGetafe
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Girona
L L L L L
30.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:2 SevillaSevilla
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:5 VillarrealVillarreal
15.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
25.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.6 Scored
3.4 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Girona

Celta Vigo
1 matches total
Girona
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Girona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 29.09 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (29.09 12:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Selta
1:1
Girona