La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Real Madrid

Spain Futbol
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Finished
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Real Madrid 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.95 / X 4.52 / 2 1.56
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 16.3% / X 21.5% / Real Madrid 62.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 16.3%
X 21.5%
2 62.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 59.7%
Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.56 market consensus · line only
X 4.52 market consensus · line only
1 5.95 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.16 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.95 16.8%
Х 4.52 22.1%
П2 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.16 86.2%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 2.58 38.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.62 61.7%
ТМ 2.5 2.40 41.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.62 21.7%
П2 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Celta Vigo
W D L L W
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
29.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 GironaGirona
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
22.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:1 Valladolid
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Real Madrid
W D W W W
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
29.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
24.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:2 AlavesAlaves
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Real Madrid

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Real Madrid
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history