Match center
Start
06.03.2026 20:00 UTC
06.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Celta Vigo - Real Madrid
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Real Madrid 6 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.17 / X 3.32 / 2 2.28
- 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 29.9% / X 28.6% / Real Madrid 41.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
29.9%
X
28.5%
2
41.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celta Vigo - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.29
market consensus · line only
X
3.33
market consensus · line only
1
3.18
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.36
market consensus · line only
12
1.32
market consensus · line only
1X
1.64
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.36
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.11
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.22
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.22
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.03
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.81
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.99
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.77
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.27 30.6% |
| Х | 3.47 28.8% |
| П2 | 2.31 43.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.32 30.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| Х | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| П2 | 2.26 44.3% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.81 55.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.60 62.5% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% |
Match center
Celta Vigo
W
W
D
L
D
01.03 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:1
Girona
Girona
22.02 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:0
Mallorca
Mallorca
14.02 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
06.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
01.02 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:0
Getafe
Getafe
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
8
Points
Real Madrid
L
L
W
W
W
02.03 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:1
Getafe
Getafe
21.02 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
14.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
08.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Valencia
Valencia
01.02 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
3
matches total
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Madrid: 3 (100%)
Biggest win
Selta 2:0 (07.12 20:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 04.05 12:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
07.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Selta
2:0
Real Madrid
04.05 12:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Selta
2:3
Real Madrid
19.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Selta
1:2
Real Madrid