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La Liga
La Liga Spain
10.05.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Sevilla

Spain Football
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
3 : 2
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Sevilla May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.67 / 2 4.22
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 50.8% / X 26.3% / Sevilla 22.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 50.8%
X 26.3%
2 22.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 47.4%
Under 2.5 52.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.22 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.90 52.6%
X 3.67 27.3%
4.22 23.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.97 50.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
3.10 32.3%
Match center
Celta Vigo
L W L L W
04.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:0 VillarrealVillarreal
19.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
12.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Sevilla
D L D L L
04.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 Leganes
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 OsasunaOsasuna
20.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 AlavesAlaves
11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 ValenciaValencia
06.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Sevilla

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Sevilla
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history