Match center
Start
23.05.2026 19:00 UTC
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23.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Celta Vigo - Sevilla
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Sevilla May 23, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.
Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.44 / 2 4.19
- 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 49.5% / X 27.7% / Sevilla 22.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
49.6%
X
27.7%
2
22.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celta Vigo - Sevilla
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.80
Fonbet · line only
1
1.02
Fonbet · line only
2
4.19
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.08
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.89
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.15
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.70
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.54 28.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 3.80 26.3% | 4.52 22.1% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.80 55.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.17 85.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.81 55.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.30 30.3% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — |
Match center
Celta Vigo
D
L
W
W
L
17.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
12.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:3
Levante
Levante
09.05 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:0
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
03.05 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
3:1
Elche
Elche
26.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:2
Villarreal
Villarreal
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Sevilla
L
W
W
W
L
17.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
0:1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
13.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
3:2
Villarreal
Villarreal
09.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
2:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
04.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
1:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
26.04 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
1:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Sevilla
Celta Vigo
2
matches total
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sevilla: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Selta 1:0 (12.01 20:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (3:2, 10.05 14:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
12.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Selta
1:0
Sevilla
10.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Selta
3:2
Sevilla
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