Match center
Start
03.01.2026 13:00 UTC
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03.01.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Celta Vigo - Valencia
4
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Valencia January 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.
Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.24 / 2 4.03
- 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 47.2% / X 29.3% / Valencia 23.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
47.2%
X
29.3%
2
23.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
42.7%
Under 2.5
57.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celta Vigo - Valencia
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.04
market consensus · line only
X
3.24
market consensus · line only
1
2.02
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.82
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.25
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.89
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.00
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.82
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.94
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.06 48.5% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% |
| 4.16 24.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.07 48.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.38 29.6% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.80 26.3% | 3.95 25.3% | 4.22 23.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.01 49.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.77 56.5% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
Match center
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D
W
W
L
W
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La Liga
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1:0
Alaves
Alaves
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.2
Conceded
10
Points
Valencia
D
L
D
D
W
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13.12 13:00 UTC
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Atletiko Madrid
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07.12 15:15 UTC
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Sevilla
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01.12 20:00 UTC
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Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
21.11 20:00 UTC
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Valencia
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Levante
Levante
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Valencia
Celta Vigo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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