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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.09.2024 12:00 UTC Match prediction
15.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Valladolid

Spain Futbol
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
3 : 1
Finished
Valladolid
Valladolid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Valladolid 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.94 / 2 5.11
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 56.4% / X 24.6% / Valladolid 19.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 56.4%
X 24.6%
2 19.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Valladolid

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.94 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.72 58.1%
Х 3.94 25.4%
П2 5.11 19.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.24 44.6%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.30 76.9%
П2 3.82 26.2%
Match center
Celta Vigo
L
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 OsasunaOsasuna
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Valladolid

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Valladolid
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history