PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.04.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
23.04.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Villarreal

Spain Football
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
3 : 0
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Villarreal April 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 3.48 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 38.2% / X 28.0% / Villarreal 33.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 38.1%
X 28.0%
2 33.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 23.04.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 2.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.55 39.2%
X 3.48 28.7%
2.87 34.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.45 69.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.69 59.2%
Under 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.83 54.6%
2.06 48.5%
Match center
Celta Vigo
L L W L L
19.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
12.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
27.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:3 Leganes
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Villarreal
D W D W D
20.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
26.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 Valladolid
20.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:1 GetafeGetafe
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Villarreal

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Villarreal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history