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La Liga Spain

31.08.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction

31.08.2025 15:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Celta Vigo - Villarreal

Spain Football

Celta Vigo

1 : 1

Finished

Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Villarreal August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.83 / X 3.43 / 2 2.46
1X2 market: Celta Vigo 33.6% / X 27.7% / Villarreal 38.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 33.6%

X 27.7%

2 38.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 50.4%

Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.08.2025 15:00 UTC

Match center

Celta Vigo - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.46 market consensus · line only

X 3.44 market consensus · line only

1 2.83 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.43 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.56 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.41 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.78 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.12 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.86 35.0%
X	3.50 28.6%
	2.52 39.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.82 35.5%	2.81 35.6%	2.98 33.6%	2.80 35.7%	2.75 36.4%	2.82 35.5%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.55 28.2%	3.52 28.4%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%
	2.44 41.0%	2.48 40.3%	2.52 39.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.45 40.8%	2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.11 47.4%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.08 48.1%	2.24 44.6%
yes	1.67 59.9%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.42 70.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%
home_draw	1.53 65.4%	1.59 62.9%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%

Match center

Celta Vigo

D D L W L

27.08 19:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Real Betis

23.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Mallorca

17.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 0:2 Getafe

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:1 Getafe

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:2 Rayo Vallecano

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Villarreal

W W W W W

24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 5:0 Girona

15.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:0 Oviedo

25.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 4:2 Sevilla

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 3:2 Barselona

14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 3:0 Leganes

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Villarreal

Celta Vigo

1 matches total

Villarreal

Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Villarreal: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Selta 3:0 (23.04 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 23.04 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.04 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Selta

3:0

Villarreal