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La Liga
La Liga Spain
35 round 09.05.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2026 12:00 UTC 35 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Alaves

Spain Football
Stadium Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Elche
Elche
1 : 1
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Alaves May 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Elche.

Line favourite market consensus: Elche. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.23 / 2 3.25
  • 1X2 market: Elche 41.3% / X 29.4% / Alaves 29.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 41.3%
X 29.4%
2 29.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 49.7%
Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Manuel Martines Valero (Elche, Spain), 22 936 zriteley (73% pri vmestimosti 31 388)
Referee Mateo Buskets Ferrer (Palma-de-Malorka)
Start 09.05.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Elche - Alaves

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Elche - Alaves, 9 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 35 round. Elche - Alaves, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 Fonbet · line only
X 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 2.17 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.09 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
3.20 31.3% 3.37 29.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.06 48.5% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 — 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.75 — 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.0 — 1.42 70.4%
Over 2.25 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8% —
Over 3.5 3.30 30.3% —
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0% —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% —
Under 1.5 3.35 29.9% —
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2% —
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1% —
Match center
Elche

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Alaves

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Adam Boyar Rafael World Travmirovannye Karles Alenya CHAMP
Match center
Elche
L W W W W
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 SeltaSelta
26.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:1 OviedoOviedo
22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 3:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
11.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:0 ValenciaValencia
21.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Alaves
L W L D D
02.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:4 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
25.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
11.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 3:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
05.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Alaves

Elche
1 matches total
Alaves
Elche: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Alaves: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Alaves 1:3 (05.10 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 05.10 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Elche
1:3
Alaves
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Elche
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Alaves
Elche Team comparison Alaves
34 Games 34
9 Wins 9
11 Draws 9
14 Losses 16
45 Scored 40
53 Conceded 53
38 Points 36
113.68 Attacks 96.94
48.38 Dangerous attacks 52.74
0 Big chances 0
10.74 Shots on goal 11.32
3.94 Shots on target 3.74
niya 2.29 0.18 Sendoffs 0.15 Goly Toni Martines 0:1 51' Alvaro Rodriges Khosan 1 72' Nakazaniya Pablo Ibanes 12' Antonio Blanko 29' Khonni Otto 33' Aleys Febas 50' Ibraim Dyabate 69' Antonio Sivera 78' Greydi Diangana 88' Abde Rebbash 88' Dzhon Donald 90+5'

Elche Alaves 34 Games 34 9 Wins 9 11 Draws 9 14 Losses 16 45 Scored 40 53 Conceded 53 38 Points 36 113.68 Attacks 96.94 48.38 Dangerous attacks 52.74 0 Big chances 0 10.74 Shots on goal 11.32 3.94 Udary v stvor 3.74 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.88 Uglovye 5.03 1.56 Offsaydy 1.94 12.88 Foly 14.97 57.88 % vladeniya myachom 49.74 1.94 Warnings 2.29 0.18 Sendoffs 0.15 Goly Toni Martines 0:1 51' Alvaro Rodriges Khosan 1 72' Nakazaniya Pablo Ibanes 12' Antonio Blanko 29' Khonni Otto 33' Aleys Febas 50' Ibraim Dyabate 69' Antonio Sivera 78' Greydi Diangana 88' Abde Rebbash 88' Dzhon Donald 90+5'