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La Liga
La Liga Spain
07.12.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
07.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Girona

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
3 : 0
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Girona December 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Elche.

Line favourite market consensus: Elche. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.30 / 2 3.62
  • 1X2 market: Elche 44.8% / X 28.9% / Girona 26.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 44.8%
X 28.9%
2 26.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Elche - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.17 46.1%
X 3.35 29.9%
3.73 26.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.43 29.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3%
3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Elche
L D D L L
28.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:1 GetafeGetafe
23.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
07.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
02.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Girona
D D W L D
30.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
08.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 AlavesAlaves
31.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 GetafeGetafe
25.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 3:3 OviedoOviedo
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Girona

Elche
0 matches total
Girona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history