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La Liga
La Liga Spain
21.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
21.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Oviedo

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
1 : 0
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Oviedo September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Elche.

Line favourite market consensus: Elche. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.24 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Elche 48.3% / X 29.4% / Oviedo 22.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 48.3%
X 29.4%
2 22.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.4%
Under 2.5 58.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Elche - Oviedo

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.24 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
X 3.28 30.5%
4.43 22.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.38 29.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.75 57.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Elche
D W D D
12.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 SevillaSevilla
29.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:0 LevanteLevante
23.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
18.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Oviedo
L W L L
13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 GetafeGetafe
30.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
24.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
15.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Oviedo

Elche
0 matches total
Oviedo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history