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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Real Betis

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
1 : 1
Finished
Real Betis
Real Betis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Real Betis August 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite Fonbet: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.30 / X 3.25 / 2 2.35
  • 1X2 market: Elche 29.2% / X 29.7% / Real Betis 41.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 29.2%
X 29.7%
2 41.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Elche - Real Betis

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.34 29.9%
X 3.22 31.1%
2.39 41.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
2.32 43.1% 2.31 43.3% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Real Betis
D L D D W
23.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 ValenciaValencia
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:2 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
04.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Real Betis

Elche
0 matches total
Real Betis
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history